Earlier than Detroit Lions go up towards Green Bay wrappersAll eyes will likely be on the 16:25 ET match. Seattle Sea Falcons and Los Angeles Coaches. For the Lions to play for a playoff spot in “Sunday Night time Soccer,” the Seahawks must lose or draw that soccer recreation.
On the floor, it looks as if a protracted process. The Seahawks are enjoying for his or her playoff lives – they want a win and a Lions win to realize it – whereas the 5-11 Rams are injured, unidentified and have just one pleasure to play on Sunday. Seattle can also be the favourite with 6.5 factors. DraftKings Sports Bettingso the view does not look nice.
Nevertheless, I’m right here to let you know to not lose hope. The potential for the Rams being upset right here is practical. And I can not beat my factors with clichés like “division video games are bizarre” or “Bobby Wagner revenge recreation” or “Rams rally for Sean McVay’s doable endgame?” I can’t help it with emotional narratives comparable to
No. Listed here are 5 chilly, laborious information and the reason why the Rams have been capable of win on Sunday.
Seahawks house benefit not sturdy this 12 months
The Seahawks have had one of many strongest house benefits within the NFL for years, however that wasn’t the case in 2022. They’ve solely misplaced 4-4s at Seattle this 12 months and three of their final 4 at Lumen Subject. .
Now, it is price noting that solely one of many Rams’ 5 wins this season is on the best way, however they’re positively up for some parts, contemplating Los Angeles usually must make quiet counts at house.
Coaches can run the ball. Seahawks struggled to cease run
Regardless of all of the accidents on the offensive line, the Rams have managed to place up a fairly good offensive assault in the previous couple of months. On the middle of that is Cam Akers, who’s lastly beginning to appear like himself after his Achilles rupture final season. Within the final seven video games, Akers has scored 105 offenses and 6 objectives for 506 yards (4.82 YPC).
In the meantime, the Seahawks have one of many worst working defenses within the league. Since Week 10, their working protection has been ranked twenty ninth on the DVOA. And over the course of the season, they’re ranked thirtieth (150.5) on the pitch per recreation allowed and twenty sixth on the yard per carry allowed (4.8).
Huge shock, but it surely has to rain in Seattle on Sunday. Floor play may be essential.
The Rams nearly beat them a month in the past.
The 2 groups performed one another in Week 13, and the Rams have been almost strolling away with this win, regardless of having solely 3-8 to Seattle’s 6-5 report. With 2:56 left within the recreation, Akers scored the kickoff and took the lead 23-20. Sadly, Geno Smith would take the Seahawks on an 11-game, 75-yard drive for the win.
It is price noting that the Rams quarterback was John Wofford in that recreation and he performed terribly. He solely went 14 of 26 for 178 yards and two interceptions. Will the Rams win that recreation with Baker Mayfield? I believe we’ll see you this Sunday.
Seahawks cannot beat the push
The largest draw back to Rams proper now’s move safety. They’re twenty seventh in PFF’s move blocking, the fourth-most drop-in sack within the NFL, and so they’re thirty first in proportion of stress allowed.
Luckily, the Seahawks pose no main risk in that division. Sure, they’d 4 sacks within the earlier recreation, however on a week-to-week foundation this is among the worst passing assaults within the league. They’re twenty eighth in PFF passing score, thirtieth in passing rush win charge, and nineteenth in stress proportion.
Mayfield, who is usually a good level guard when stored clear (103.9 pointer factors with clear pockets per PFF), can have a extra relaxed day than standard.
That is proper: The Rams have been a greater workforce over the previous month
Previously 4 weeks – for the reason that Rams purchased Baker Mayfield – Los Angeles have been 2-2 and the Seahawks 1-3. The Rams’ wins have been thought of to be towards the Raiders and Broncos, but it surely was simply over a month in the past that the Seahawks misplaced at house to the Raiders.
And judging by some superior stats from final month, these two groups are a lot nearer than the Vegas streak suggests.
DVOA rankings since Week 14
- Sea hawks: 17.
- coaches: 19.
EPA rankings since Week 14
- Sea hawks: 24.
- coaches: 14.
- Sea hawks: 19.
- coaches: 20.
Put it collectively and take a look at these layers:
I perceive it is a small pattern and the Seahawks are going through a way more troublesome schedule this time round (Panthers, 49’s, Chiefs, Jets). Nevertheless, it is price noting how properly the Rams performed with Mayfield on the helm.
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