December 2, 2023
Lions 2023 draft selection update: Breaking down the highest, lowest scenarios for Rams selection

nearly each Detroit Lions will root for the fan Los Angeles Coaches to trigger nice sorrow on Seattle Sea Falcons Sunday afternoon. If the sport goes down like this, it is Detroit’s season. Final against Green Bay Packers in “Sunday Night Football” it immediately turns right into a “win and win” recreation for each groups. If the Seahawks win, the Lions are eradicated from playoff rivalry.

For Lions followers who’ve been rooting for the Rams to lose all season, it is a unusual accident. Detroit has the Rams’ first-round decide as a result of final 12 months’s Matthew Stafford commerce, and the extra the Rams lose, the higher the decide.

With only one extra recreation over within the common season, the place this decide will finish is lastly in focus. So, let us take a look at the possible outcomes of the Rams decide, relying on whether or not they win towards the Seahawks this week.

Right here is the present 2023 NFL Draft Order after seventeenth week:

Observe: The ability of this system – the first tiebreaker – is taken from Tankathon.

  1. Texans: 2-13-1 (energy of .485 program)
  2. Bears: 3-13 (.566)
  3. Broncos (Seahawks Owned): 4-12 (.485)
  4. Cardinals: 4-12 (.526)
  5. Colts: 4-11-1 (.507)
  6. Aries (Lion): 5-11 (.517)
  7. Falcons: 6-10 (.470)
  8. Raiders: 6-10 (.471)
  9. Panthers: 6-10 (.474)

Everybody else is at 7-9 or higher. Clearly, with the Rams in 5 wins, they can not go under any of those groups with one potential win remaining.

Clearly, the Rams cannot mathematically match a staff with two or three wins as they have already got 5 wins. effectively solely on report, The Rams’ choice vary will finish between Decide 3 and Decide 9.

However let’s dig just a little deeper:

If the Rams lose to the Seahawks…

First, we’re all going to be upset as a result of it means the Lions aren’t within the playoffs, however this can clearly assist each of the Lions’ first-round picks. Their very own first-round picks will now not be assured to be lower than 18.

As for the Rams choice, couldn’t end under sixth general. As for a way excessive it’s going to go, that depends upon the 4 profitable groups. Sadly, the Broncos are one in every of 4 profitable groups and their program power (.485) is considerably simpler than the Rams (.517). So even when they end with the identical report, the Rams will not have the ability to beat the Broncos. In different phrases, if the Rams lose, the selection will probably be 4 to 6 general.

Listed below are the related video games to comply with, with the Cardinals or Colts choosing a six-to-four spot with each win by skipping the tryouts:

The 49ers (14-point favorites) can nonetheless technically take the #1 spot and might want to win to carry the #2 spot. If there’s something to play, do not anticipate the 49ers to screw it up.

The Colts are taking part in horrible soccer proper now, however this week they face the worst staff in soccer. Indianapolis is a three-point favourite, so this recreation has a very good likelihood of being in Detroit’s favour.

So if the Rams lose, the almost definitely situation is for the Lions to complete with a fifth or sixth decide.

If the Rams beat the Seahawks…

We’re all very excited for “Sunday Evening Soccer”. However by way of draft choice, this implies: The selection of lions will typically not be greater than the sixth. The win will carry the Rams to 6 wins and they’ll have the hardest schedule of any six-win staff, and that may possible not change:

  • Aries: 6-11 (.517)
  • Falcons: 6-10 (.470)
  • Raiders: 6-10 (.471)
  • Panthers: 6-10 (.474)

So how far they get from sixth general relies upon completely on the result of the Falcons, Raiders, and Panthers video games. Every lack of one in every of these groups deducts the Rams from choosing one other spot. This is a take a look at these video games:

Falcons vs. pirates

The Bucs are locked in fourth place within the general standings and don’t have anything to play. Regardless of the pirates they said they wouldn’t be at the beginner levelOut of playoff rivalry, the Falcons are the four-point favorites.

Raiders vs. Chiefs

The Chiefs are 7.5-point favorites and are nonetheless battling for the AFC’s #1 seed. Unhappiness appears unlikely right here.

Panthers vs. Saints

Each groups right here look like out of playoff rivalry and Carolina targeted on their pursuit of head teaching. Home of Saints and three.5-point favorites, however possibly Steve Wilks can rally the troops as soon as once more and make a case for his long-term head teaching job.

In brief, the Rams will end anyplace between six and 9 in the event that they win the choice, however almost definitely between seven and 9.

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